Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.105579 2.216151 2.334719 2.472315 2.628924 2.803303 3.014623
2025-06-29 1.976655 2.117805 2.275475 2.467307 2.698324 2.973205 3.334626
2025-07-06 1.861301 2.016266 2.193886 2.416798 2.695865 3.044363 3.532815
2025-07-13 1.814041 1.986298 2.188843 2.451233 2.793581 3.244865 3.927762
2025-07-20 1.790494 1.980569 2.209620 2.515842 2.932809 3.515891 4.482026
2025-07-27 1.743637 1.942251 2.185705 2.518580 2.986378 3.671275 4.896247
2025-08-03 1.703358 1.909043 2.164998 2.522157 3.039064 3.830416 5.363783
2025-08-10 1.640232 1.843724 2.098813 2.458342 2.986429 3.813847 5.489352
2025-08-17 1.601819 1.807972 2.069063 2.442319 3.002398 3.910635 5.881145
2025-08-24 1.567883 1.776340 2.042855 2.428944 3.020156 4.011782 6.324717
2025-08-31 1.537861 1.748445 2.020072 2.418541 3.040800 4.120233 6.840894
2025-09-07 1.521221 1.737176 2.018869 2.438828 3.111751 4.333822 7.791578
2025-09-14 1.471993 1.682425 1.957524 2.368977 3.031727 4.246872 7.774818
2025-09-21 1.448063 1.660412 1.940316 2.364037 3.060169 4.384491 8.659446
2025-09-28 1.411868 1.620923 1.897363 2.317817 3.013998 4.358354 8.903196
2025-10-05 1.403240 1.617983 1.905122 2.349156 3.105258 4.648373 10.967315
2025-10-12 1.403559 1.626937 1.929757 2.407925 3.252257 5.111997 15.836887
2025-10-19 1.386835 1.612001 1.919461 2.410399 3.294711 5.330589 20.722259
2025-10-26 1.371262 1.598133 1.910087 2.413643 3.338778 5.568372 30.556247
2025-11-02 1.338876 1.560243 1.864553 2.355581 3.257060 5.426003 29.307536
2025-11-09 1.320212 1.540997 1.845811 2.340977 3.261419 5.542919 42.238832
2025-11-16 1.303080 1.523462 1.829026 2.328778 3.269550 5.675168 83.835372
2025-11-23 1.287453 1.507657 1.814298 2.319286 3.282383 5.828000 NaN